Earnings radar
Every tracked Polymarket market that resolves on an upcoming earnings report, and the money that has already moved before the print: who is building conviction, whether those wallets have a graded track record, and what the company's own insiders filed with the SEC over the same window. This page shows unusual conviction — money, direction, timing — it never claims anyone knows anything. Updated nightly; dates are US Eastern.
No earnings prints on the radar
right now — this fills up as earnings season approaches and Polymarket
lists the markets.
How to read this honestly
- Most of these Polymarket markets are small. A few hundred dollars can be the whole tape — the share-of-market figure on each wallet line tells you how thin the water is.
- A fresh wallet is one whose first activity anywhere on Polymarket came after this market listed. That is unusual, not incriminating — new traders arrive every day, and an earnings market is a normal first bet.
- The public tape credits one side of each trade, so every figure here is a floor on true activity, not a census.
- Each wallet's record stamp is its leaderboard standing the night the radar was rebuilt — it does not update afterward.
- The SEC filing strip counts open-market insider buys and sells (Form 4) filed since the Polymarket market listed. Filings can lag the actual trade by up to two business days, and a sale under a pre-set 10b5-1 plan was scheduled long in advance.
- The resolution date comes from the Polymarket market itself; the actual report time can differ.
- Unusual conviction is a fact about money, never an accusation about a person. Not investment advice.
Wallet addresses and handles are public on-chain and Polymarket-profile data. Trade data comes from Polymarket's public tape; insider filings from SEC EDGAR.